Prameswari, Dian (2026) Pengaruh Umur Harapan Hidup, Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka, dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Pada 15 Provinsi Dengan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Tertinggi di Indonesia Tahun 2021-2024. [Tugas Akhir/Skripsi] (Unpublished)
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Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji dan menganalisis pengaruh Umur Harapan Hidup (UHH), Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka (TPT), dan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang diproksikan melalui Produk Domestik Regional Bruto atas dasar harga konstan (PDRB ADHK) terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) pada 15 provinsi sampel tahun 2021-2024. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif eksplanatori dengan data sekunder berbentuk balanced panel sebanyak 60 observasi yang terdiri atas 15 provinsi dan empat tahun. Pengolahan dilakukan menggunakan EViews versi 13 melalui statistik deskriptif, estimasi CEM, FEM, dan REM, Uji Chow, Uji Hausman, Uji Lagrange Multiplier, uji diagnostik, Uji t, Uji F, dan koefisien determinasi. Hasil pemilihan model menetapkan Common Effect Model (CEM) sebagai model akhir. Berdasarkan output Uji t terbaru, UHH memiliki koefisien 1,051392 dengan probabilitas 0,0000 sehingga berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap IPM. TPT memiliki koefisien 0,020861 dengan probabilitas 0,8715, sedangkan PDRB ADHK memiliki koefisien 9,183368E-07 dengan probabilitas 0,9779; keduanya tidak berpengaruh signifikan secara parsial. Berdasarkan ringkasan model yang tersedia, Uji F menghasilkan F-statistic 2,1271 dengan probabilitas 0,1070 sehingga pengaruh simultan tidak signifikan, sedangkan R-squared sebesar 0,1023 menunjukkan model menjelaskan 10,23 persen variasi IPM. Penelitian menyimpulkan bahwa H1 diterima, sedangkan H2, H3, dan H4 ditolak. Hasil dibaca secara hati-hati karena UHH merupakan bagian dari dimensi kesehatan IPM, periode pengamatan relatif pendek, PDRB bersifat agregat, dan residual model tidak berdistribusi normal. Kata kunci: Umur Harapan Hidup, Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka, PDRB ADHK, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia This study examines the effects of Life Expectancy (LE), the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR), and economic growth proxied by Gross Regional Domestic Product at constant prices (GRDP) on the Human Development Index (HDI) in 15 sampled Indonesian provinces during 2021-2024. The study applies an explanatory quantitative approach using secondary balanced panel data consisting of 60 observations from 15 provinces over four years. Data were processed in EViews 13 using descriptive statistics, CEM, FEM, and REM estimation, the Chow test, Hausman test, Lagrange Multiplier test, diagnostic tests, t-tests, an F-test, and the coefficient of determination. The model-selection procedure identified the Common Effect Model (CEM) as the final model. Based on the latest t-test output, LE has a coefficient of 1.051392 with a probability of 0.0000, indicating a positive and significant partial effect on HDI. OUR has a coefficient of 0.020861 with a probability of 0.8715, while GRDP has a coefficient of 9.183368E-07 with a probability of 0.9779; neither variable has a significant partial effect. Based on the available model summary, the F-test yields an F-statistic of 2.1271 with a probability of 0.1070, indicating that the joint effect is not significant, while an R-squared value of 0.1023 means that the model explains 10.23 percent of the variation in HDI. The study concludes that H1 is accepted, whereas H2, H3, and H4 are rejected. The findings should be interpreted cautiously because life expectancy is part of the health dimension of HDI, the observation period is relatively short, GRDP is measured in aggregate terms, and the model residuals are not normally distributed. Keywords: Life Expectancy, Open Unemployment Rate, GRDP at Constant Prices, Human Development Index
| Item Type: | Tugas Akhir/Skripsi |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Kata kunci: Umur Harapan Hidup, Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka, PDRB ADHK, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Keywords: Life Expectancy, Open Unemployment Rate, GRDP at Constant Prices, Human Development Index |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HQ The family. Marriage. Woman |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Economic and Business > Development Economics Study Program |
| Depositing User: | Dian Prawesti . |
| Date Deposited: | 22 Sep 2026 02:11 |
| Last Modified: | 22 Sep 2026 02:11 |
| URI: | http://erepository.uwks.ac.id/id/eprint/23669 |
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