Munadi, Ernawati (2007) Penurunan Pajak Ekspor dan Dampaknya terhadap Ekspor Minyak Kelapa Sawit Indonesia ke Cina (Pendekatan Error Correction Model)”. Export Tax Reduction and Its Implication to Indonesian Palm Oil Export to India (An Error Correction Model Approach). Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian.
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8a.PENURUNAN_PAJAK_EKSPOR_DAN_DAMPAKNYA_TERHADAP_EKSP.pdf Download (564kB) |
Abstract
Indonesia is the second biggest palm oil producer on the world after Malaysia. In 2006, Indonesia contributed about 34% of total palm oil world production. On the other hand, Indonesia also the biggest palm oil consumer among developing countries. In the year 2006, Indonesia was consumed more than 5.5 million tons of palm oil which 76.75% out of the total was cooking oil. About 55% of production was exported as crude palm oil (CPO), especially to India and China. Debate on palm oil policy was stimulated by increasing in palm oil price significantly in1994-1995. This situation was causing act toward an export tax regulation on palm oil in order to ensure the availability of palm oil to fulfill national necessity. By using annual data 1969-2006 period, an econometric approach of econometrics specially an error correction model was applied in this study. This paper examines the impact of export tax reduction on Indonesian export of palm oil to India. Results indicate that export quantity of Indonesian palm oil to India is influenced by the changes in ratio of soybean oil price and world palm oil price (PSO/WSO), goods production index (IPI), and export demand of Indonesian palm oil to India in previous year significantly, which elasticity 2,74, 2.69 and 0.69 respectively. However, the coefficient of ECM is almost zero which is explain that these variables were not affect to long term export demand. Furthermore, simulation result shows that direct impact of export tax reduction is the increase in palm oil export quantity to India as well as from about 202.96 thousand tons to 237.57 thousand tons. Keywords : export tax, trade liberalization, error correction model, export demand.
Item Type: | Other |
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Subjects: | S Agriculture > S Agriculture (General) |
Divisions: | Faculty of Agriculture > Agribusiness Study Program |
Depositing User: | Sulimin BP3 |
Date Deposited: | 19 Sep 2019 04:06 |
Last Modified: | 19 Sep 2019 04:06 |
URI: | http://erepository.uwks.ac.id/id/eprint/4935 |
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